Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 373.222531 423.002281 478.050648 543.628641 619.865476 705.986951 811.044991
2025-12-28 307.022376 374.724747 456.334049 562.754583 699.035261 869.276856 1100.513920
2026-01-04 272.775647 349.879894 448.414120 585.207045 772.787191 1024.808423 1395.579774
2026-01-11 241.958156 322.600605 430.495537 587.956163 816.193776 1141.822621 1654.198694
2026-01-18 213.927499 294.383850 406.164832 576.219116 834.512225 1222.448183 1869.642696
2026-01-25 191.701927 271.119429 385.139574 565.064680 849.971761 1298.172206 2087.062692
2026-02-01 180.067305 261.508474 382.232446 579.717128 905.647778 1442.852527 2441.576669
2026-02-08 166.161853 246.860995 369.823842 577.361736 932.561212 1542.745769 2734.434550
2026-02-15 153.404090 232.617281 356.356835 571.244139 951.519246 1630.385491 3019.126563
2026-02-22 144.317985 223.225223 349.510294 575.039881 987.569949 1752.873492 3393.670991
2026-03-01 133.824924 210.583705 336.046036 565.662983 998.112895 1828.318053 3685.215688
2026-03-08 125.491587 200.775419 326.364713 561.771911 1018.029609 1924.179174 4038.789313
2026-03-15 114.654292 186.093996 307.404184 539.592146 1001.123991 1945.790931 4235.861318
2026-03-22 111.268430 183.943933 310.189043 558.419010 1068.292496 2153.929704 4922.029183
2026-03-29 108.618029 182.808676 314.587566 580.678897 1145.378850 2396.436152 5754.751420
2026-04-05 103.486028 176.794672 309.457262 583.402850 1181.117880 2551.154533 6396.930668
2026-04-12 96.970249 167.759189 297.892390 571.770970 1183.656325 2627.858533 6842.602772
2026-04-19 91.101544 159.501940 287.143707 560.716135 1186.026503 2704.492629 7308.327189
2026-04-26 88.677251 157.534618 288.403817 575.237682 1249.617588 2946.319795 8344.015484
2026-05-03 84.562864 152.034860 282.222287 572.903368 1272.611324 3086.339020 9097.586127
2026-05-10 80.373943 146.104377 274.710609 566.840453 1285.642873 3201.799698 9804.308132
2026-05-17 77.474710 142.510581 271.681170 570.602278 1323.899668 3394.654452 10844.102899
2026-05-24 73.533367 136.582495 263.364293 561.309104 1327.224203 3487.575939 11548.304247